What the study found
PneumoScore, a new risk prediction model, was the best-performing model for predicting 90-day mortality after lung resection in this study.
Why the authors say this matters
The authors conclude that 90-day mortality is a critical but underexplored outcome in thoracic surgery, and they suggest PneumoScore could help improve preoperative evaluation of patients with lung cancer.
What the researchers tested
The researchers used data from the Brazilian Lung Cancer Registry, a multicenter database of patients who underwent lung resection between 2002 and 2024. They excluded records missing more than 15% of variables or any essential variable, split the dataset into training and testing sets, and compared multiple machine learning algorithms using standard prediction metrics.
What worked and what didn't
The final model, PneumoScore, was a logistic regression model using age, sex, predicted postoperative FEV1%, ASA >= IV, coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, congestive heart failure, pneumectomy, thoracotomy, and extended resection. In the testing analysis, it achieved AUROC 0.84, AUPR 0.99, Brier Score 0.033, Brier Skill Score 0.256, calibration intercept 0.067, and calibration slope 1.067.
What to keep in mind
Of 2885 registry patients, 2001 were included after exclusions, and 88 died within 90 days after surgery. The abstract does not describe limitations beyond the exclusion rules and the split between training and testing data.
Key points
- PneumoScore was the best-performing model for predicting 90-day mortality after lung resection.
- The model used age, sex, lung function, comorbidity, and surgical factors.
- It was developed and tested using data from the Brazilian Lung Cancer Registry.
- In the testing set, the model achieved AUROC 0.84 and AUPR 0.99.
- The abstract says 90-day mortality is a critical but underexplored outcome in thoracic surgery.
Disclosure
- Research title:
- PneumoScore predicted 90-day mortality after lung resection
- Image credit:
- Photo by Jo McNamara on Pexels
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